4 years ago

by In this horrific time of disease outbreak and corresponding hospitalizations and lockdowns enforced upon people, most people often have one thing on their mind: to survive and get on with life. Here is a quick way to mathematically model it: First, we need to define an event that needs to be examined.

This is essentially an evaluation of threat or hazard posed to long term survivability, at any instant of time.

So, if long term survivability is denoted by F(t) as a function of time, then short term threat to it ( aka morbidity) is d/dt( 1- F(t)) = -F'(t).